The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. All NOAA. . Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. The periodical says it. the . While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. Weather Forecast Office. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . Arizona winters aren't known for being white or cold, but this is getting ridiculous. Here was the tweet the office issued. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? Feb March 2023 . Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. Questions? If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. In a couple of words: its nice! (Weather station: Payson, USA). Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. All NOAA. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. Winter 2022-2023 should be dominated by an active storm track in the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, across the Virginias, and across interior New York State and New England. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W You'll receive your first newsletter soon! This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. 3. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. video. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The annual monsoon was not quite as active as it was in 2021 with rainfall amounts ranging widely across the metro area from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. The coldest periods will be in late November, mid- and late December, and mid-January. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. Multiple locations were found. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture . Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. Toggle navigation. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Equal chances use the map provided below. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. Precipitation: Below Average This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder, HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. Please try another search. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. Support local journalism. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. One daily temperature record was set. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. Therefore, we will likely see periods that are warmer or colder in each respective region of the country when compared to what is shown above. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. Get more stories delivered right to your email. ajgarrison - Flickr Enter any city, zip or place. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. Sign Up for the Morning Brief - a weekday newsletter infused with your forecast, fun facts, articles and bite-sized nuggets to energize your day. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. Arizona weather in January 2024 The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 48F and 66F, warm clothes are a must. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. With stories from American West, Western Washington State, King County (Wash.), Seattle, Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington State, Sports, Washington State University, College Sports. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. The monthly average temperature of 71.4 is 1.2 BELOW normal and ranks as the 40th warmestOctober on record. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. November climate data across southeast Arizona. "We have no strong reason to favor a super-weak vortex like we had in winter 2020-21 at this time, and feel this winter be more like last winter," Crawford said. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. Click Here To Join The Page Today. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December.